Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000189 0.000211 0.000235 0.000262 0.000293 0.000326 0.000364
2025-06-15 0.000155 0.000185 0.000220 0.000261 0.000310 0.000366 0.000436
2025-06-22 0.000131 0.000165 0.000206 0.000258 0.000323 0.000402 0.000503
2025-06-29 0.000115 0.000152 0.000199 0.000261 0.000342 0.000445 0.000584
2025-07-06 0.000102 0.000141 0.000191 0.000262 0.000358 0.000484 0.000661
2025-07-13 0.000090 0.000129 0.000182 0.000260 0.000368 0.000515 0.000730
2025-07-20 0.000083 0.000124 0.000181 0.000266 0.000391 0.000565 0.000827
2025-07-27 0.000076 0.000117 0.000177 0.000268 0.000406 0.000605 0.000913
2025-08-03 0.000069 0.000111 0.000172 0.000269 0.000418 0.000641 0.000994
2025-08-10 0.000063 0.000103 0.000165 0.000266 0.000426 0.000669 0.001067
2025-08-17 0.000059 0.000099 0.000162 0.000268 0.000440 0.000709 0.001158
2025-08-24 0.000054 0.000093 0.000156 0.000265 0.000445 0.000734 0.001229
2025-08-31 0.000049 0.000088 0.000151 0.000263 0.000455 0.000769 0.001319
2025-09-07 0.000046 0.000084 0.000148 0.000264 0.000468 0.000808 0.001420
2025-09-14 0.000042 0.000079 0.000143 0.000262 0.000475 0.000840 0.001510
2025-09-21 0.000040 0.000077 0.000142 0.000266 0.000493 0.000891 0.001637
2025-09-28 0.000037 0.000074 0.000140 0.000267 0.000507 0.000935 0.001754
2025-10-05 0.000034 0.000070 0.000135 0.000265 0.000513 0.000966 0.001850
2025-10-12 0.000033 0.000069 0.000136 0.000272 0.000538 0.001032 0.002015
2025-10-19 0.000031 0.000066 0.000134 0.000274 0.000553 0.001081 0.002151
2025-10-26 0.000029 0.000064 0.000132 0.000274 0.000564 0.001124 0.002278
2025-11-02 0.000027 0.000061 0.000128 0.000272 0.000570 0.001155 0.002384
2025-11-09 0.000026 0.000059 0.000126 0.000274 0.000584 0.001205 0.002532